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Of course, why would it be any different to the last two Saturdays with the sea state... at least there will be breeze (I'm hoping!)
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Breeze forecast looking better- and more typical direction in recent forecast. Seastate and wind will compress and diffract on the rounding...just like all the points on the west coast. Its quite spectacular how you can all of the sudden wish you had a reef or 2 in with the island as a lee shore.Originally posted by Kimmy View PostComment
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We have 5 Express 27s, 4 Express 37s, 4 Moore 24s, 3 Santa Cruz 27 and 3 WylieCat 30s.
It sure would be nice to have five of each so that they get their own division.
Reminder that Wed March 28th at the skippers meeting is last day to enter at OYC
http://www.sfbama.org/2012/dhf/index.html
Weather forecast looks good http://www.myforecast.com/bin/expand...6&metric=false
Guest speakers at skippers meeting include Lt. Commander DesaRae Janszen, the Waterways Management Division Chief for Coast Guard Sector San Francisco; and John Craig, Principle Race Officer of the 34th America's Cup and the AC World Series. They'll be talking about the AC venue from the PRO and USCG perspectives, hazards of offshore racing including hypothermia, and what to expect if you need help. Bios on BAMA DHF page. A SAR customer will also be present to report on what its like to be hoisted aboard a helo (video on BAMA DHF page)
Agenda:
Doors open at 5:30 pm OYC
Race entries, GPS download/replay asisstance when BAMA gets there
John Craig speaks on AC venue at 7:30
LtCmndr DesaRae Janszen speaks on AC Venue, offshore risks, what to expect if you need help- comments by one of the survivors who had a basket ride in the video on BAMA DHF page
Skippers Meeting- changes in SI, reminders, Q&A
58 entrants to date which is pretty good at this time.
Thanks and have a great race!Comment
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NW 15-25, with increasing swell, stay off the bars and you will be alright!Comment
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Still looking for a ride,,, seems like I'll miss it again ,,,
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DHF wind speed/direction precip forecast by the hour
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/...ekday=SaturdayComment
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Synopsis...GULF OF THE FARALLONES...AND CORDELL BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARIES...
LIGHT TO MODERATE FLOW WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST. HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIMILAR TO THE PERIOD. A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE CENTRAL COAST OVER THE WEEKEND.
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Tonight...S winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 9 to 11 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu...S winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 to 9 ft at 12 seconds.
Thu Night...S winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 8 to 10 ft at 12 seconds. Slight chance of rain.
Fri...S winds 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 10 to 13 ft. Slight chance of rain.
Fri Night...S winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 9 to 12 ft and SW 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Sat...W winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. W swell 9 to 12 ft and SW 3 ft...increasing to 13 to 16 ft and S 3 ft. Showers...then chance of showers.
Sun...W winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 12 to 15 ft and S 3 ft...decreasing to 10 to 13 ft and SW 3 ft.Comment
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NOAA forecast by Lat Long
Here's a handy trick. Go to google maps. Find a location of interest. Right click. Select directions to here. Lat/long pops up.
Insert in NOAA forecast
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...&Submit=SubmitComment
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Thats the zone forecast, correct? http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=PZZ545
Originally posted by Photoboy View PostComment
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Watching the forecast models on the boob tube last night, they all seem to be
in agreement that the front should pass through early in the morning, then clear
out behind it. Yeah! Looks like the fleet will get a good wake up call early on then
things might settle down and shift NW before a nice clearing wind fills in....
NWS Forecast Discussion:
DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...A PRETTY STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO AND THROUGH THE
DISTRICT. AS WITH OTHER RECENT SYSTEMS...A NARROW PLUME OF
MODERATELY HIGH PRECIP WATER IS PROJECTED TO ACCOMPANY IT...BUT
ITS COMPARATIVELY RAPID SPEED OF PROPAGATION SHOULD LEAD TO
DIMINISHED LOCAL OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT OF RAINFALL TOTALS.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ASSOCIATED PRECIP TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM
ABOUT A HALF INCH AROUND THE BAYS UP TO 1.5 TO 2 INCHES IN THE
WETTEST SPOTS IN THE COASTAL HILLS. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THOUGH
THAT THERE COULD BE A SHORT INTERVAL OF HEAVY RAIN IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ITSELF. WILL ALSO NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON
THE WINDS. NEW 06Z NAM PROJECTS 925 MB WINDS UP INTO THE 45 TO 50
KNOT RANGE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAY AREA AROUND 15Z SATURDAY
WHICH IS GETTING CLOSE TO WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLDS IN THE HILLS.
(15:00 Zulu is precisely start time Saturday)
Reef early, reef often!Comment
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So we'll have wind at the start for a change? Be careful what you wish for! Any thoughts on effect on sea state?
Originally posted by Photoboy View PostComment
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Sounds like a fast ride out and back...just spoke with a participant that shall remain anonymous, but the point that the USCG
won't issue the permit until Saturday morning, pending their review of sea state at time the front is supposed to pass was brought up.
Hope there is some leeway there, be the shits if they cancel the event just cause they looked at conditions in the early am and not
what will transpire throughout the day...Can some at the Race Deck at GGYC post a heads up here Saturday morning?Comment
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Precise?
The forecast itself? The location? I think the lat/long off google is very precise. The forecast area is shown as a red box on the map in the forecast.
Originally posted by IOR Geezer View PostComment
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